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England Women v Germany Women betting tips: Lionesses looking to make history

| 25.07.2022

Euro 2022: Preview, odds and England Women v Germany Women betting tips

England are looking to make history on Sunday night when they face their old rivals in the Euro 2022 final.

The Lionesses destroyed Sweden 4-0 to book their place at a sold-out Wembley and 24 hours later Alex Popp scored both goals in Germany’s 2-1 victory over France.

The tournament hosts are slight favourites at 4/5 to win their first major tournament but let’s take a closer look at the odds and talking points in our England Women v Germany Women betting tips.

England Women v Germany Women form

Both teams go into the match in spectacular form, especially England who are appearing in their first final since 2009 when they lost 6-2 to Germany.

The Lionesses have won 17 of their 19 games since Sarina Wiegman took charge of her first game 10 months ago, scoring an incredible 104 goals and conceding just four times.

They are comfortably the highest scorers in the competition with 20, eight of which came in an 8-0 drubbing of Norway during which Beth Mead bagged a hat-trick.

England, though, have a terrible record against Germany, who are eight-time European champions and have won every final in which they have appeared.

Like England, they have conceded just once and that was an own goal in the win against France, Kadidiatou Diani’s long-range shot rebounding in off the back of goalkeeper Merle Frohms.

England were very impressive against Sweden, but Germany’s remorseless high-pressing game will prove difficult to break down, so they certainly catch the eye at 15/8 to win in 90 minutes or evens to lift the trophy for a ninth time in 13 tournaments.

Sunday’s game is bound to be a close affair but we expect England to do most of the running, with Germany sitting back, keeping their shape and looking to catch out the hosts on the counter-attack.

The last three meetings between the teams have involved both teams scoring and at least three goals and that option is available at 7/5.

England Women v Germany Women head to head

England have only beaten Germany twice in their history and although they won 3-1 in the Arnold Clark Cup final in February, their opponents were missing 14 players, so we should not read too much into that result.

That said, Wiegman’s side fully deserved their win which came following Lauren Hemp’s brilliant mazy run and shot which deflected into the path of Mille Bright standing in an offside position, but with no VAR in operation, the goal stood.

Fran Kirby sealed the win with a run from inside her own half, so England have the weapons to worry Germany, but Martina Voss-Tecklenburg’s side have some major talents of their own.

Lina Magull scored with a sensational free-kick to level the scores just before the break to make it three successive encounters in which both teams had scored before the break.

Although both teams have conceded just once, Germany were 1-1 at the break on Wednesday night, so goals at both ends in the first half looks an interesting option at 4/1.

Picking a winner looks tough though and the draw is 11/5, while a level 90 minutes and goals at both ends can be backed at 16/5.

Both teams are 9/1 to win on penalties, the same price as England to get the job done in extra time, with the Germans 11/1 in that market.

In our #GetAPrice options, both teams to score, over 2.5 goals and either team to win is 7/4 in our England Women v Germany Women betting tips.

England Women v Germany Women team news

Wiegman has named the same starting XI in all five matches and is likely to stick with a winning formula for Sunday’s match, with Ellen White, who scored against Germany five months ago, leading the line.

Hemp and Mead will be on the left and right wings respectively, with Kirby and Georgia Stanway in the middle, and Keira Walsh pulling the strings in front of the back four.

Rachel Daly should start at left-back, with Lucy Bronze on the right, and Bright and Leah Williamson in central defence in front of keeper Mary Earps.

However, Wiegman has consistently freshened up the team in the second half, so expect to see the likes of Alessia Russo, who scored a delightful backheel against Sweden, Ella Toone, Alex Greenwood, Jill Scott and Chloe Kelly to make appearances after the break.

Germany were without Klara Buhl for the semi-final after the winger tested positive for Covid and it remains to be seen whether she will be in the 4-3-3 starting formation.

Goalscorer odds

England and Germany have the top scorers in the competition, with Mead and Popp both on six goals, but the Lionesses winger is the favourite to win the Golden Boost because she has provided four assists.

Popp, though, has broken the European Championship record by scoring in every match and is understandably the 5/1 favourite to break the deadlock as she did at Stadium MK and the same price to bag the last goal as she has in four of her five games.

Mead is 11/2 to net the opener and 12/5 to score any time, with Popp 9/4 in that market in our England Women v Germany Women betting tips.

England have potential goalscorers all over the pitch, with White priced at 21/10 to find the net, while Kirby, Hemp and Stanway are all 7/2.

Bright is 14/1 to score as she did in February or 40/1 to draw first blood.

Magull catches the eye at 8/1 from the Germany contingent to score the game’s opener or 10/3 to net any time.

Match Info

Where: Wembley Stadium

When: 17:00, Sunday 31st July

How to watch: BBC 1

England in previous finals

England’s route to Wembley

View the latest football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

 

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Author

Warren Barner