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Real Madrid v Manchester City betting tips: Another classic in prospect

| 01.05.2022

Real Madrid v Manchester City betting tips and odds

Manchester City hold a one-goal advantage heading to Madrid after edging a scintillating first leg in Tuesday’s Champions League semi-final at the Etihad which has left the tie on a knife edge.

City led by two goals on three separate occasions but Karim Benzema’s cheeky penalty, his second goal of the game, ensured the hosts will take a 4-3 lead to the Spanish capital on Wednesday when they are 1/1 favourites to win inside 90 minutes.

The first match was a classic and we expect more of the same in the return as we look at the odds and markets in our Real Madrid v Manchester City betting tips.

Real Madrid v Manchester City form

City stayed on track to retain their Premier League title with a 4-0 win at Leeds on Saturday while Real Madrid crushed Espanyol on the same day to win LaLiga for a record-extending 35th time.

On top of their Champions League ambitions, City are also involved in a thrilling Premier League title battle with Liverpool, although they lead the Reds by just a point with four games remaining.

Despite failing to beat Liverpool in three attempts this season, City have won 21 of their last 24 Premier League games and showed true grit in a bruising goalless draw in Madrid to advance to the semi-finals.

Pep Guardiola’s men finished top of their group, but lost two of their away games at PSG and RB Leipzig, before crushing Sporting 5-0 over two legs in the round of 16, although they have the best record on the road in the Premier League (W13 D3 L1).

 

Just like the game at the Etihad, goals could be on the cards again and we go 6/5 on at least four, 11/4 on five or it’s 14/1 on at least seven just like the first leg.

City are also 11/5 to win and concede, while the buoyant hosts are 19/5 to prevail that way or simply 12/5 to get the job done inside 90 minutes.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side needed extra time to get past Chelsea in the quarter-finals and are 21/5 to win by a one-goal margin to spark another 30 minutes.

They have won 12 and drawn four of their 17 home games this season, their only defeat coming in a 4-0 drubbing by Barcelona, so City can take encouragement from that result.

Los Blancos have proved to be comeback kings in recent weeks, twice coming back from the brink to eliminate PSG and Chelsea, and they trailed Sevilla 2-0 earlier this month only to rally with three second-half goals for a 3-2 victory.

It came as no surprise that Benzema was the man who struck the winner in Andalucia having scored a hat-trick against PSG and Chelsea, and netted the extra-time winner against the Blues in the quarter-finals.

They are 11/1 to win from behind or 3/1 just to qualify in our Manchester City v Real Madrid betting tips.

Real Madrid v Manchester City head to head

These teams also met in the round of 16 in the 2019-20 season when City won both legs 2-1 which is priced at 7/1.

Having secured a 4-3 victory on Tuesday, they have now won the last three meetings with the 13-time European champions by one-goal margins and can be backed at 29/10 to make it a fourth.

There have also been goals at both ends in the first 45 minutes in the last two matches between these clubs and a third can be backed at 5/2.

Guardiola revealed City will not be settling for a draw when they travel to the Bernabeu which can be backed at 11/4.

He said: “The result is what it is. We won, we are going to rest, then play Leeds and travel to Spain next week. To win this competition, from my small experience, you have to overcome situations like football gives in front of you.

“The result could be better, but Madrid is always Madrid. It doesn’t matter if you are 1-0 up or two or three, you have to perform really well over two games. We performed really well in the first one. We have to do it in the second one. It is a good test to show our personality as a team and we are going to travel there to win the game.”

City are 17/10 to win and over 2.5 match goals for a third successive time against Real Madrid and 6/1 to score their first goal inside the opening 10 minutes as they did at the Etihad, but it’s 9/2 on the visitors leading after a quarter of an hour.

Real Madrid v Manchester City team news

Right-back Joao Cancelo is available having missed the first leg through suspension and Kyle Walker took part in training ahead of the game but John Stones was not involved.

Walker has been absent for the last five matches while recovering from an ankle issue.

Fellow defender Stones was forced off in the first half of the first leg against Real last week and missed Saturday’s 4-0 Premier League win at Leeds.

Kevin De Bruyne, Riyad Mahrez and Bernardo Silva were all on the bench at Elland Road, so are likely to start on Wednesday.

Real are without key defender David Alaba through injury but the influential Casemiro is fit to feature in midfield.

Casemiro’s availability, having only been fit enough for the bench last week, gives Ancelotti a selection poser over whether or not to retain the in-form Rodrygo, who has scored four goals in his last five games.

Goalscorer odds

Benzema, one goal off Cristiano Ronaldo’s record of 10 goals in a knockout campaign, is the top scorer in the competition with 14 and unsurprisingly the 16/5 favourite to draw first blood or evens just to find the net.

Vinicius Jr netted Real Madrid’s second goal at the Etihad and is 11/2 and 15/8 in the two markets while Rodrygo, who scored twice at the weekend, can be backed at 10/1 and 7/2.

Mahrez is City’s top scorer in this competition with six and is 9/2 to get the ball rolling or 6/4 to score, with De Bruyne 15/8 to find the net or 11/2 to break the deadlock as he did last week.

Gabriel Jesus has netted six goals in his last three games and is 6/1 and 21/10 in the two options, with Silva 10/1 and 10/3 having struck the fourth goal in the opening leg.

Match Info

Where: Bernabeu

When: 20:00, Wednesday 4th May

How to watch: BT Sport

View the latest Champions League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner