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Crystal Palace v Brighton betting tips: History suggests goals

| 26.09.2021

Palace v Brighton betting tips and odds

One of the more unusual rivalries in English football concludes the weekend action in the Premier League when Crystal Palace host in-form Brighton who can go top of the table tonight.

The Seagulls have won four of their five games to sit in fourth place heading into the weekend, a point behind Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United, and are 6/4 favourites to win at Selhurst Park.

With one of Chelsea and Manchester City guaranteed to drop points, Graham Potter’s side could go third or even higher on Monday night, so let’s look at the markets and odds in our Crystal Palace v Brighton betting tips.

Match Odds

Brighton may be favourites but they have failed to beat the Eagles in their last four meetings, although this fixture has finished 1-1 in the previous two seasons.

Another share of the spoils is available at 21/10 and the same 1-1 scoreline for a third successive season is 5/1 as one of our Palace v Brighton betting tips.

Although only one of Palace’s five matches have produced goals at both ends this season, six of the previous seven meetings between these clubs have involved both teams scoring which can be backed at 19/20.

Patrick Vieira’s Palace side were dealt a tough hand by the fixture list but despite losing 3-0 at Chelsea and Liverpool, they beat 10-man Tottenham by the same scoreline and drew with both West Ham and Brentford, so it has been a reasonably encouraging start to the campaign.

Bearing in mind both teams tend to score when these teams meet, Palace and Brighton to win and concede is 11/2 and 9/2 respectively, while a draw is 10/3.

The south Londoners have opened the scoring in the last three encounters with Brighton and are 5/4 to make it a fourth or 11/5 to do so in the first half as they did in both games last season.

For those who fancy the visitors to win, their matches continue to be low-scoring affairs just like last season, so we price them at 2/1 to win and under 3.5 goals or a 2-1 win is 9/1.

Talking Tactics

Potter made 11 changes for Wednesday’s 2-0 victory over Swansea so his first-choice players should be rested for the clash with Palace who had already been knocked out of the Carabao Cup by Watford.

With centre-back Adam Webster out injured, Potter deserted a three-man back line for a 4-4-2 in last week’s 2-1 win against Leicester during which Neal Maupay and Leandro Trossard started up front, with Danny Welbeck and Solly March on the wings.

Pascal Gross and Tariq Lamptey return to the squad, with midfielder Yves Bissouma available despite sustaining a knee injury against Leicester.

Vieira likes a 4-3-3 in which Christian Benteke spearheads the attack flanked by Wilfried Zaha and Jordan Ayew.

Goalscorer Odds

Benteke has yet to find the net this season, but is the 5/1 co-favourite with Brighton’s Maupay to break the deadlock and both players are 23/10 to get on the scoresheet.

Maupay has scored three goals in five appearances so he would appear to be the better option of the two –  and he scored in this fixture two seasons ago.

Odsonne Edouard bagged a double from off the bench in the win against Spurs and is 9/4 to score again, while Zaha is 12/5 in our Palace v Brighton betting tips.

For Brighton, Trossard scored the winner at Brentford for his first goal of the season and is 10/3 to add another to his tally or 8/1 to grab the opener.

Match Info

Where: Selhurst Park

When: 20:00, Monday 27th September

How to watch: Sky Sports

View the latest Premier League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner