Wales stage of elimination odds: Can Dragons repeat 2016 run?
Wales start their Euro 2020 campaign against Switzerland on Saturday afternoon.
Rob Page’s side are 150/1 to win the tournament, with the Euro 2016 semi-finalists also facing Turkey and Italy in Group A.
Here we look at all the options in the Wales stage of elimination odds.
Despite reaching the semi-finals in France five years ago, Wales are 4/5 to go out at the group stage this time around.
This is only Wales’ second Euros and third major tournament overall but they have never failed to get beyond the first round, reaching the last eight at their only World Cup in 1958.
— UEFA EURO 2020 (@EURO2020) June 8, 2021
Wales have lost five of their seven previous meetings with Switzerland but they were victorious last time out, when Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale gave them a 2-0 win in a Euro 2012 qualifier in Swansea a decade ago.
Their record against Italy is no better, having lost seven of nine games – including a 4-0 thumping in their last encounter back in 2003, a game which interim manager Page featured in.
Wales have won three of their six meetings with Turkey, although they lost 6-4 in a dramatic World Cup qualifier last time they played each other in 1997.
If Wales maintain their perfect record of reaching the knockout stage at major tournaments, then they are 11/5 to lose in the last 16.
Top Group A and Page’s side would likely face either Ukraine or Austria, but should they finish as runners-up then a tough assignment against the second-placed team in Group B, which contains Belgium, Denmark and Russia, awaits.
Should Wales sneak through in third place then they would face a group winner, which could potentially be Belgium, Spain or the team that tops the ‘group of death’ featuring France, Germany and Portugal.
Wales famously toppled Belgium at this stage in France five years ago and reaching the last eight again would be a remarkable achievement for Page’s team.
Another European powerhouse would likely be the opposition at this point, with Wales 15/2 to bow out at the quarter-final stage.
Semi-final and final
Another run to the last four seems fanciful for a largely inexperienced squad, although with Bale and Ramsey involved again Welsh fans will dare to dream.
Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal accounted for Wales at the semi-final stage five years ago and it is 20/1 for them to be eliminated in the same round this time, with a runner-up finish priced at 66/1.
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication