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Cheltenham Festival: Ground to favour Samcro and Lostintranslation?

| 04.03.2020

The wait is almost over! The 2020 Cheltenham Festival is only days away and the latest odds on the ground conditions have swayed the prices in some of the biggest races of the Festival.

Good to Soft on the opening day of the Festival is now even money from 13/8, while Soft has drifted out to even money from 4/6. Heavy is now 8/1, having been 7/2.

It is unlikely to be Good Ground though at 50/1.

Both punters and spectators can expect intermittent showers through the week, turning mild as the Festival progresses. So, what does this mean for some of the races ahead?

Marsh Novices’ Chase

Day Three of the Cheltenham Festival is St Patrick’s Day and is a particularly interesting race card with the market regularly changing.

Following the latest update in the ground conditions, Samcro has attracted further support for the Marsh Novices’ Chase and is now 6/1 from 7/1.

The 2018 Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle Champion was well backed following a promising start to this season at Down Royal but has since had an indifferent campaign. Samcro missed last season’s Festival through injury, could the eight-year-old make a winning return to Cheltenham in 2020?

Allaho is the favourite at 7/2 along with Itchy Feet at 9/2. Mister Fisher is 6/1 despite his winning performance at Cheltenham last year and with course form and high-class hurdling form to his name he remains good value.

Gold Cup

This is the climax of The Cheltenham Festival on Friday 13th March. Last year, Willie Mullins claimed his first Cheltenham Gold Cup and is favourite to do so again this time round. But could Colin Tizzard claim Gold Cup glory?

Given the indifferent weather conditions, the Tizzard hopeful, LOSTINTRANSLATION is the latest runner getting attention in the market and is now 6/1 from 13/2.

Al Boum Photo is 10/3 favourite to retain the Gold Cup title for Willie Mullins. He beat Acapella Bourgeois at Tramore on New Year’s Day, he’s in great form ahead of the 2020 Gold Cup.

If anyone is to topple Al Boum Photo, Santini is among the favourites at 7/2 with Delta Work at 9/2 and Presenting Percy further back at 8/1.

Jockey Paul Townend celebrates his victory in the Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase on Al Boum Photo during Gold Cup Day of the 2019 Cheltenham Festival at Cheltenham Racecourse.

Ladbrokes’ Nicola McGeady said: “Initially we thought the going on day one would be soft, but the weather is pointing towards better ground and Good to Soft has gone joint-favourite.

Samcro remains one of the biggest liabilities for us heading into the festival and judging by the support, punters believe he can show the class he displayed as a hurdler following another wind op.”

View the latest Cheltenham Festival odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication.