Dortmund vs Sporting CP: Match Preview, Predictions & Lineups

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Borussia Fans during the IUefa Champions League, 2024/25 season, football match between Bologna FC 1909 and Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund carry a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg in Lisbon, with goals from Serhou Guirassy (60'), Pascal Groß (68'), and Karim Adeyemi (82'). Historically dominant against Sporting CP, Dortmund have won four of their five previous meetings. Sporting CP faces a formidable challenge, having never won a European knockout tie against a Bundesliga club.

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Match Details

  • Fixture: Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP
  • Date: 19 February 2025
  • Kick-off: 17:45 CET
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
  • First Leg Result: Sporting CP 0–3 Borussia Dortmund

Head-to-Head Record (All Competitions)

  • Total Matches: 5
  • Borussia Dortmund Wins: 4
  • Sporting CP Wins: 1
  • Draws: 0
  • Dortmund Goals: 8
  • Sporting Goals: 4
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Recent Meetings

  • 11 Feb 2025: Sporting CP 0–3 Borussia Dortmund (UCL 1st Leg)
  • 24 Nov 2021: Sporting CP 3–1 Borussia Dortmund (UCL Group Stage)
  • 2 Nov 2016: Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Sporting CP (UCL Group Stage)
  • 18 Oct 2016: Sporting CP 1–2 Borussia Dortmund (UCL Group Stage)

Team Form Guide (Last 5 Matches)

Borussia Dortmund – Recent Matches

  • (L) Bochum 0-2 Bortmund (15 Feb 2025, Bundesliga)
  • (W) Sporting CP 0–3 Dortmund (11 Feb 2025, UCL)
  • (L) Dortmund 1–2 Stuttgart (8 Feb 2025, Bundesliga)
  • (W) Heidenheim 1–2 Dortmund (1 Feb 2025, Bundesliga)
  • (W) Dortmund 3–1 Shakhtar (29 Jan 2025, UCL)

Form Overview: 3 Wins, 2 Losses in their last 5 matches. Dortmund remains strong in Europe but recently suffering Bundesliga setbacks against Bochum and Stuttgart

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Sporting CP – Recent Matches

  • (D) Sporting 2-2 Arouca (15 Feb 2025, Liga Portugal)
  • (L) Sporting CP 0–3 Dortmund (11 Feb 2025, UCL)
  • (D) Porto 1–1 Sporting CP (7 Feb 2025, Liga Portugal)
  • (W) Sporting CP 3–1 Farense (2 Feb 2025, Liga Portugal)
  • (D) Sporting CP 1–1 Bologna (29 Jan 2025, UCL)

Form Overview: 1 Win, 3 Draws, 1 Loss in their last 5 matches. Sporting CP have shown resilience domestically but struggled against elite competition in Europe.

First-Leg Key Stats and Analysis

(Sporting CP 0–3 Borussia Dortmund, 11 Feb 2025)

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Key Moments

  • 60' Serhou Guirassy: Clinical finish from inside the box.
  • 68' Pascal Groß: Long-range strike following a quick transition.
  • 82' Karim Adeyemi: Sharp counter-attack finished with a composed strike.

Dortmund’s superior pressing and fitness (covering 6.2 km more than Sporting) allowed them to dominate transitions and set-pieces, converting both opportunities into goals.

Tactical Breakdown

Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1)

Strengths:

  • Efficient pressing and control in transitions (41 ball recoveries vs. Sporting’s 32).
  • Balanced attack with wide penetration from Adeyemi and Gittens.
  • Strong set-piece execution (8 corners to Sporting’s 4).

Weaknesses:

  • Occasional vulnerability in defensive clearances (20 clearances vs. 24 attempted).

Key Players:

  • Serhou Guirassy: Top UCL scorer with 10 goals this season, opened the scoring in the first leg.
  • Pascal Groß: Key playmaker, with a crucial goal and assist in the first leg.
  • Karim Adeyemi: Pace on the counter, scoring Dortmund’s third goal.
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Predicted Line-up:

  • Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
  • Defenders: Julian Ryerson, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Daniel Svensson
  • Midfielders: Emre Can, Pascal Groß
  • Attacking Midfielders: Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Jamie Gittens
  • Forward: Serhou Guirassy

Sporting CP (4-3-3)

Strengths:

  • Strong midfield ball retention (90% pass accuracy in the first leg).
  • Capable of wide attacks through Francisco Trincão.
  • Physical presence in set-piece scenarios (13 total attempts vs. Dortmund’s 16).

Weaknesses:

  • Defensive frailties under pressure (conceded 3 goals from inside the box).
  • Inefficient counter-attacks (only 1 off-target shot from outside the area).
  • Poor away record against German clubs (W1 D1 L14).

Key Players:

  • Pedro Gonçalves: Sporting’s creative hub; crucial for breaking Dortmund’s lines.
  • Viktor Gyökeres: Strong target man but isolated in the first leg.
  • Rui Silva: Veteran goalkeeper, recorded 6 saves in the first leg.
Stadium Sporting Lisbon

Predicted Line-up:

  • Goalkeeper: Rui Silva
  • Defenders: Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Gonçalo Inácio, Matheus Reis
  • Midfielders: Hidemasa Morita, Morten Hjulmand, Pedro Gonçalves
  • Forwards: Francisco Trincão, Viktor Gyökeres, Conrad Harder

Statistical Insights and Historical Context

  • Dortmund’s Record vs Portuguese Clubs: W10 D0 L5 (Home: W7 D0 L0)
  • Dortmund have scored 18 goals in 7 home matches against Portuguese teams, conceding only 2.
  • Sporting’s Record vs German Clubs: W4 D6 L22 (Away: W1 D1 L14)
  • Sporting’s only away win in Germany came against Eintracht Frankfurt (3–0, 2022).
  • Sporting have never overturned a 3–0 first-leg home deficit in UEFA competitions.

Match Prediction and Betting Insights

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Reasoning

  • Dortmund’s dominant home record against Portuguese clubs, combined with their three-goal cushion, places them in a strong position.
  • Sporting’s attacking push to overturn the deficit will likely leave gaps for Dortmund’s counter-attacks.
  • Dortmund’s superior efficiency from set-pieces and transitions will prove decisive

Fun Fact

Borussia Dortmund have scored in 100% of their home matches against Portuguese teams, maintaining a perfect home record (W7 D0 L0) in such fixtures.

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Final Notes

Dortmund are expected to advance comfortably, but Sporting, with nothing to lose, may provide a spirited challenge. The key battle will be between Dortmund’s rapid counter-attacks and Sporting’s attempts to break down their compact defence.

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.

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