Southampton vs Bournemouth: Premier League Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips

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A general view of St Mary's Stadium, home of Southampton

Southampton and Bournemouth face off in a crucial South Coast derby at St Mary’s, with both sides desperate for points in their respective battles. Southampton remain in deep relegation trouble, while Bournemouth are aiming to continue their strong league form and push towards the top half of the table.

Match Details

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Team Form & Overview

Southampton – Recent Form (Last 5 Premier League Matches) W L L L L

  • 2-1 vs Ipswich (A)
  • 1-3 vs Newcastle (H)
  • 2-3 vs Nott'm Forest (A)
  • 1-3 vs Man Utd (A)
  • 0-5 vs Brentford (H)

Southampton finally ended a six-match losing streak with a vital win at Ipswich. However, their defensive struggles remain a major concern.

Bournemouth – Recent Form (Last 5 Premier League Matches) L W W D W

  • 0-2 vs Liverpool (H)
  • 5-0 vs Nott'm Forest (H)
  • 4-1 vs Newcastle (A)
  • 2-2 vs Chelsea (A)
  • 1-0 vs Everton (H)

Bournemouth have been in excellent form, winning three of their last five league games, including a dominant win over Nottingham Forest.

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Injury & Suspension Report

Southampton

  • Juan Larios – Out
  • Ross Stewart (Muscle Injury) – Out 
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Ankle injury) – Doubtful
  • Nathan Wood (Knock) – Doubtful 
  • Ryan Fraser (Knock) – Doubtful

The Saints are without Larios and could also be missing Stewart, with the latter's absence limiting their attacking options.

Bournemouth

  • Enes Unal (Knee) – Out
  • Alex Scott (Knee) – Out
  • Marcos Senesi (Thigh) – Out
  • Luis Sinisterra (Hamstring) – Doubtful
  • Evanilson (Foot) – Doubtful
  • Adam Smith (Muscle injury) – Doubtful
  • Julian Araujo (Hamstring injury) – Out
  • James Hill (Hamstring injury) – Doubtful

Bournemouth have significant injury concerns, particularly in defence and attack, but their squad depth has been enough to keep them competitive.

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Predicted Line-ups

Southampton (3-4-2-1)

  • Goalkeeper: Alex McCarthy
  • Defenders: Jan Bednarek, Taylor Harwood-Bellis (If fit), James Bree
  • Midfielders: Kyle Walker-Peters, Lesley Ugochukwu, Joe Aribo, Ryan Manning
  • Attacking Midfielders: Tyler Dibling, Albert Gronbaek
  • Forwards: Paul Onuachu

Onuachu has a big responsibility to lead the Southampton line, with Dibling and Gronbaek likely to be his closest attacking support. 

Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)

  • Goalkeeper: Kepa
  • Defenders: Lewis Cook, Illia Zabarnyi, Dean Huijsen, Milos Kerkez
  • Midfielders: Tyler Adams, Ryan Christie
  • Forwards: Antoine Semenyo, Justin Kluivert, David Brooks
  • Striker: Dango Ouattara

With key players missing, Bournemouth could rely on Semenyo and Kluivert for attacking creativity.

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Tactical Breakdown & Key Battles

Southampton’s Approach

  • Strengths: Quick transitions, home advantage
  • Weaknesses: Defensive fragility, poor form

Expect Southampton to play on the counter and use the guile of Gronbaek and Dibling to test  Bournemouth’s backline.

Bournemouth’s Approach

  • Strengths: Attacking depth, fluid midfield
  • Weaknesses: Defensive injuries, set-piece struggles

Bournemouth will look to control possession and use their pace in wide areas to exploit Southampton’s shaky defence.

Key Battle – Paul Onuachu vs Illia Zabarnyi

Onuachu’s aerial threat will test Bournemouth’s centre-backs, especially with Senesi out.

Midfield Control – Tyler Adams vs Joe Aribo

A battle of physicality and passing ability, crucial for dictating play.


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What to Expect

Bournemouth have the edge in terms of quality and form, but Southampton will be desperate to build on their win at Ipswich. The hosts’ defence remains vulnerable, while Bournemouth’s attacking options could prove decisive.

Predicted Score

Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s attacking quality should be too much for Southampton’s struggling defence.

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Fun Fact

Bournemouth have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with Southampton, with an aggregate score of 9-3.

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