US Open betting: Kyrgios slashed for New York success but doubtful Djokovic remains favourite
Kyrgios slashed in US Open odds after Medvedev victory
Wimbledon runner-up Nick Kyrgios has been cut from 22/1 to 7/1 in the US Open odds following his comeback victory against world number one Daniil Medvedev in Montreal this week.
Kyrgios, who ended a three-year title drought by winning last week’s Citi Open, reached the round of 16 with a 6-7 6-4 6-2 victory against the Russian, who is now 5/2 to make a successful defence of his US Open title.
Three-time champion Novak Djokovic remains the 13/8 favourite despite being almost certain to miss the grand slam over his vaccination status.
Djokovic was deported from Australia in a high-profile legal case in January because he had not been vaccinated against Covid which meant he was unable to defend his title but he put that behind him by winning Wimbledon for a seventh time in July.
The tournament takes place between August 29-September 11, so let’s look at the US Open odds ahead of the year’s final grand slam.
Djokovic withdrew from the National Bank Open in Montreal this week because he is not allowed to enter Canada without being vaccinated and the same rules apply to the United States, so unless the Serb undergoes a dramatic change of heart he is unlikely to be playing at Flushing Meadows.
— ATP Tour (@atptour) July 10, 2022
The US government’s insistence on non-citizens being jabbed means Djokovic will be denied the chance to draw level with Rafael Nadal on 22 grand slams.
Djokovic lost to Medvedev in straight sets in last year’s final but a repeat meeting looks out of the question.
Chances: Djokovic proved he is still the best player in the world at Wimbledon but US entry requirements are unlikely to change this month.
The defending US Open champion was denied the chance to add a second grand slam title to his name in the summer when Russian and Belarusian players were banned from competing at Wimbledon because of the war in Ukraine.
20 of the last 22 men's singles Grand Slam titles have gone to Federer, Nadal, and Djokovic.
We're familiar with the other two 😉 pic.twitter.com/najStY5pmD
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) July 10, 2022
Medvedev started the year in disappointing fashion, losing the Australian Open final for the second successive season and did so from two sets up against Nadal.
The world number one subsequently lost in the finals of two grass-court tournaments and only won his first title of the year in Los Cabos at the start of the month which he followed with a three-set loss to Kyrgios in Canada.
Chances: The man to beat in the expected absence of Djokovic.
The Spanish teenager is one of the hottest players on the planet, having won four titles this year, one of which came on the hard courts of Miami in March and a couple of months later in Madrid beat Nadal, Djokovic and Alexander Zverev in winning his second Masters 1000 tournament.
Alcaraz reached his first grand slam quarter-final at last year’s US Open, but a leg-muscle injury meant he had to retire from a set down against Felix Auger-Aliassime.
His preparations for Flushing Meadows suffered a setback with a three-set defeat by Tommy Paul in his first match in Montreal and his odds have lengthened from 7/2 to 9/2 as a consequence.
Chances: Hits the ball hard and accurately down both flanks, and with Djokovic seemingly out of the running he could go far.
Won the French Open for a 14th time for a record-extending 22nd grand slam success despite a long-standing foot condition, although Djokovic has since reduced the gap to one by winning Wimbledon.
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Nadal began the year with an incredible comeback win in the Australian Open final and has lost just three of his 38 matches this year, but as usual injuries have affected his season.
The 36-year-old Spaniard was forced to pull out of his Wimbledon semi-final against Kyrgios with an abdominal tear he sustained against Taylor Fritz and although he withdrew from the tournament in Montreal, he plans to travel to Cincinnati for the Western & Southern Open.
Chances: The four-time champion last won the US Open three years ago and if he can stay healthy there is no reason why he can’t win a third major of the season.
Kyrgios is in the best form of his life having secured his seventh career title in Washington last week and his comeback win against Medvedev was his 14th win in 15 matches.
His first win over a current World No. 1 in 8️⃣ years 🙌
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) August 10, 2022
The temperamental Aussie is now on the cusp of the top 30 and said after his win: “I executed better than he did, that’s all it comes down to. He won the first set and I feel like I had opportunities there as well, so hopefully I can just keep this rolling.”
However, he has never progressed beyond the third round in eight appearances in New York, so needs to improve his game.
Chances: Seems to be focused and should produce his best performance at the year’s final grand slam.
The world number two has 19 career titles to his name but none this year and is still chasing a maiden grand slam.
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The Olympic champion reached the fourth round in Melbourne, but suffered a horrible injury in the French Open semi-final against Nadal, tearing ankle ligaments which led to him leaving the court in a wheelchair.
Zverev has not competed since undergoing surgery and although he still hopes to play at the US Open, he remains touch and go.
Chances: A first grand slam may have to wait.
The Greek lost an exhilarating and bad-tempered third-round match against Kyrgios at Wimbledon where he has never done well, just like the US Open.
The world number five has never progressed beyond the third round in four attempts from the main draw and has only won one title on hard courts, Marseille two years ago.
Warmed up for the US Open by playing in Montreal as the third seed but lost to Britain’s Jack Draper, the first top-10 success of his career.
Chances: Has the talent but better players seem to have his number.
Best of the rest
Jannik Sinner won his first title of the season in Umag at the end of July when he fought back from losing a first-set tie-break against Alcaraz by taking the next two 6-1 6-1.
The hard-serving Italian reached the quarter-finals at the Australian Open and Wimbledon this year and ended a run of first-round exits by making it to the fourth round of last season’s US Open. Sinner can be backed at 11/1.
British number one Cameron Norrie and 2012 champion Andy Murray can be backed at 33/1 and 50/1 respectively, the latter price available on Hubert Hurkacz, who has a good record against Medvedev, although admittedly he has yet to show his best form in New York.
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication