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Man City v QPR: Goals again but more comfortable for hosts

| 01.09.2012

Sergio Aguero may not be around to nab an injury-time winner on this occasion, but 1/1 still looks a big price that Manchester City and QPR score over 3.5 goals between them again at the Etihad Stadium.

The last time the pair clashed was obviously on the final day of the last campaign, when Roberto Mancini’s men became the first team in Premier League history to be losing after 90 minutes but still win the game.

In fact, both meetings between the pair last season ended in 3-2 wins for the champions and it is 20/1 that Man City beat QPR by this scoreline again.

The chances of this happening are also boosted by the fact that Man City have been struggling defensively at the start of the current campaign, shipping twice against Southampton and Liverpool.

Not only have Man City been conceding, QPR have not managed a clean sheet in their last 17 Premier League away games, while at home they have not been much better, letting in five against Swansea on the opening day.

Inter Milan’s Champions League-winning goalkeeper Julio Cesar may help improve this defensive record and may make his debut here.

In terms of match betting, it is virtually impossible to consider anything other than a home win at 1/5.

Man City are unbeaten in their last 30 games at the Etihad, winning 28 of these fixtures.

The good news for QPR is that manager Mark Hughes caused one of these blips when in charge of Fulham and the price is 11/2 that he leaves with another point.

A QPR victory is 12/1 and with good reason as they have managed a pathetic total of three points from their last 14 Premier League outings on the road.

With Aguero injured, Carlos Tevez will again be backed to lead the line, scoring in all three Man City appearances so far this season.

He is 3/1 to break the deadlock, but in terms of a value bet punters could do worse than plump for Aleksandar Kolarov at 16/1 as this is the sort of fixture he tends to start.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.