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King of Stats: All the numbers prior to Champions League last-four ties

| 29.04.2013

At the second-leg stage of the Champions League semi-finals, it is somewhat surprising to see globally-renowned Spanish pair Real Madrid and Barcelona needing to overcome respective three and four-goal first-leg deficits.

And with little value to be found in simply backing Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich to go on to qualify for the Wembley final, the King of Stats has toiled to unearth a number of alternative profitable betting opportunities.

2 – The number of sides to have overcome a four-goal aggregate disadvantage to progress in European competition. Real Madrid recovered from a 5-1 defeat to Borussia Mochengladbach in the 1984/85 UEFA Cup, whilst Partizan Belgrade advanced at QPR’s expense following a 6-2 Loftus Road loss the previous year. Barcelona, 4-0 down to Bayern Munich, are 16/1 to qualify for a fourth Champions League final in seven years.

3 – The amount of goals Real have most frequently prevailed by in the tournament this year. Three of Los Blancos’ five European successes have seen them triumph via a three-goal margin, with 6/1 the price that they do so again.

12 – Within Dortmund’s last nine Champions League outings, the net has bulged in between the 30th and 45th minute on 12 separate occasions. It is 1/1 that a goal is registered in this period at Santiago Bernabeu.

4 – Bayern have won without conceding on four occasions in this season’s Champions League, including during their first-leg success over Barca. The Bundesliga champions are 5/1 to keep a clean sheet in Spain, and 7/1 to emerge victorious from a match in which they aren’t breached.

20 – The number of hat-tricks Cristiano Ronaldo has racked up in his three-and-a-half year stint in the Spanish capital. One of those trebles came in this competition earlier in the season, and the tournament top scorer is 9/1 to claim another against Dortmund.

5 – Meanwhile, Ronaldo has scored in all five of Los Blancos’ Champions League triumphs this season. The 12-goal hitman is 10/11 to find the net within a 90-minute home victory.

10 – Die Borrusen have their own potent attacking weapon in the form of striker Robert Lewandowski though. The striker became the first player in history to notch a European hat-trick against Real during the first leg, when he racked up a four-goal haul. He has 10 seasonal Champions League strikes to his name, including five opposite Madrid, and is 13/8 to bag at any time.

6 – Across all competitions, Barcelona have triumphed via a four-goal margin on six occasions this season. It is 11/1 that the Catalans succeed by four or more strikes, and 22/1 they achieve the 4-0 win that would force extra-time.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee