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Liverpool v Man Utd: Bank on goals in the closing stages

| 28.08.2013

After Manchester United’s tepid 0-0 draw with Chelsea and Liverpool’s perfect defensive record in their first two Premier League fixtures, the odds on a free-scoring affair at Anfield might not be considered.

However, the two teams have not turned in a 0-0 draw since 2005, and their record against one another in the past five seasons suggests that backing both teams to score at 8/13 is a good move.

Out of the 10 Premier League clashes in that period there has been only one game where a team kept a clean sheet – when Liverpool won 2-0 in 2009.

In all competitions both teams have scored in 10 of their last 12 meetings, and despite their solid defensive records so far this campaign, there is likely to be goals at Anfield.

There have been three goals scored in each of their past four meetings, and the same total is well priced at 31/10, although backing over 2.5 goals at 4/5 is the safer bet, as that has been the case in 10 of the last 13 meetings between the sides.

Do not despair if that total has not been reached heading into the last 15 minutes of the game, as in nine of the past 12 matches there has been a goal in the final quarter of an hour.

It is also notable that the trend for late drama has held in the last six meetings between the two sides at Anfield. Backing a goal after the 75th minute looks a smart choice at 10/11, with David Moyes no doubt hoping to replicate his predecessor’s aptitude at securing good results late in the day.

Last season Robin Van Persie’s 81st minute penalty won United the game at Anfield, while Javier Hernandez scored an equaliser in the same minute of the fixture two years ago.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.