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Aston Villa v Man City: Injury-hit hosts vulnerable to a hiding

| 27.09.2013

Villa Park is fast becoming a fruitless tree for Aston Villa in the Premier League and with rampant Manchester City in town, it could be a lengthy afternoon for those of a claret and blue persuasion.

All the ingredients here suggest Aston Villa will struggle to cope with a Man City side who have just scored 12 goals across their last three games in all competitions – making the Man City win at 8/15, solid-looking accumulator material.

Alongside bottom club Sunderland, Paul Lambert’s side are the only Premier League outfit not to have picked up a single point at home yet this season and have now suffered nine defeats in their last 13 league games at Villa Park.

A massive problem is their inability to keep clean sheets; they haven’t managed to keep one during that run of home games mentioned above.

So when you consider the injuries to first-choice centre-back Jores Okore and Ashley Westwood, the case for City ransacking the hosts only grows stronger.

Although City have only left as 1-0 winners from their last two Premier League visits, they’ve bagged 11 goals across three of the last five encounters in all competitions with Villa – so the 21/20 on 2/3 City goals is worth a crack, though 4+ goals at 9/2 is far more exciting.

Meanwhile, the Man City win to nil at 31/20 with Ladbrokes – something they have done on their last two league visits – is even more tempting, considering Aston Villa’s main goal threat Christian Benteke remains sidelined.

Five of Manuel Pellegrini’s first seven games in charge have now returned a clean sheet also, so the 6/5 on another one stands out as well.

It’s definitely worth noting that all five of City’s away goals in all competitions so far have arrived after the break, so 13/10 on more of their goals coming in the second-half is another tempter.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.