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West Ham v Everton: Lack of home bite eludes to away win

| 20.09.2013

Sam Allardyce made a major boo-boo in not signing another striker in the transfer window and subsequently Everton can be the latest team to ram that point home by winning at Upton Park.

Everton enjoy a great recent record against West Ham in the Premier League, having won six of the last 10 encounters, going undefeated in that stretch.

This stat alone could point punters in the way of either the draw at 9/4 or the away win at 7/5, but there is more evidence to support the latter.

While Everton failed in the end to break down a resolute Cardiff on the road, they were by far the better side at Norwich, creating the most chances and could easily have won it, having gone in front mid-way through the second half.

Registering only two goals from their four matches highlights exactly where West Ham’s woes lie meanwhile, which allowed Stoke to take the Upton Park-spoils with a narrow 1-0 win on the home team’s last appearance in east London.

The Hammers defence are definitely doing their part, having conceded just that one league goal so far, but with only the virtually invisible Modibo Maiga heading the attack in Andy Carroll’s absence, this lack of cutting edge will be punished by better teams, which Everton are.

A 1-0 to the Toffees is very tempting at 7-1, while three of the last five visits have ended as 2-1 victories for Everton, which could well be the pick of the scores at 10/1.

Another pattern to take into consideration at Upton Park is Everton’s propensity to go behind first, something they’ve done on four of the last five visits, coming back to win three times.

Therefore, the 11/10 on the Hammers scoring first appeals, while Everton coming back from behind to win at 11/1 could be the big money-spinner.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.