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Liverpool v Basel: Reds to win tight Champions League affair

| 09.12.2014

Despite being schooled twice by Real Madrid, scraping four points from Hungarian side Ludogorets and losing in Switzerland, Liverpool host Basel in their last Champions League Group B fixture with their fate in this season’s competition very much in their own hands.

It will be a tense, nerve-wracked and intriguing night at Anfield. Here are our three best bets:

Liverpool to win @ 8/11

The way the Reds have played in the Champions League this season, they should already be out; Ludogorets were desperately unlucky to only gain a point off Brendan Rodgers’ men over two matches, which could easily have resulted in Steven Gerrard and co’s early exit.

Remarkably, having taken seven points from their past three Premier League fixtures, any kind of win over the Swiss champions, who lost both their previous Group B away games, will see Liverpool through. Back them to get it.

Jordan Henderson to score at any time @ 29/10

Over Liverpool’s past 14 games in all competitions, no Reds player can match the former Sunderland midfielder’s three goals.

Rickie Lambert, Steven Gerrard and Adam Lallana are all stuck on two since the end of September, while Raheem Sterling hasn’t managed to strike once during said timeframe.

These stats say Henderson is the value pick for an anytime goal despite the presence of eight other Liverpool players ahead of him in the market, including the aforementioned quartet.

Under 2.5 goals @ 1/1

It’s obvious from the previous stat regarding central-midfielder Henderson that Liverpool are finding scoring tough at present, managing an average of exactly one per match at Anfield over their past seven home fixtures.

Considering their visitors have managed just one away goal in the Champions League this term, sticking with unders at 1/1, as opposed to the 3/4 about three or more strikes, looks the value way to play on Merseyside.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune