No, Bradford South is not UKIP’s most winnable seat in Yorkshire

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The Telegraph and Argus report contains the following line:

“Pointing out a leading bookmaker had labelled Bradford South as UKIP’s “most winnable” in Yorkshire, Mr Smith added: “It’s a winnable seat – the bookies have very good inside information.”

Errr..no. I’m not sure who this “leading bookmaker” is, but a quick look at Ladbrokes’ odds reveals that Bradford South is behind several other Yorkshire seats as UKIP’s most winnable.

SeatUKIP Odds
Rotherham9/4
Rother Valley5/1
Wentworth and Dearne8/1
Penistone and Stocksbridge8/1
Doncaster North10/1
Barnsley East12/1
Bradford South14/1

Labour remain 1/50 favourites to win Bradford South. Not based on any magical “inside information” but just a realistic appraisal of the seat combined with the money staked by Ladbrokes’ customers

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