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Liverpool v Dortmund: Value with another draw in even-handed tie

| 13.04.2016

Liverpool earned their just rewards for a polished away performance in Dortmund, but with no clear daylight between Jurgen Klopp’s current and former club, calling the eventual winners of the Europa League quarter-final tie is a tricky task.

The 1-1 scoreline is very slightly balanced in Liverpool’s favour of course, as a goalless encounter at Anfield would see the English club squeeze through on the away goals rule.

Still, after an enthralling match in Germany which provided 13 shots on target and 29 in total spread almost exactly between the sides, few punters will be placing bets on the 11/1-rated 0-0 with Ladbrokes.

Dortmund – who stretched their long unbeaten run to 18 games after a 2-2 derby draw on the road at Schalke in their intervening fixture – are still slight favourites for the 90-minute win at 11/8.

Meanwhile, 19/10 shots Liverpool were impressive 4-1 winners at home to Stoke with a more altered line-up than Thomas Tuchel was able to field, as BVB lost ground to Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga title race.

As their respective odds indicate, this tie is still on a knife edge and as such the 12/5 about a draw looks to retain most value.

If so, Dortmund could be the ones profiting from the away goals this time around.

Both a repeat of the 1-1 (11/2) and a 2-2 draw at 11/1 in the correct score market appear like well-reasoned risks.

Second-guessing the Liverpool starting XI could be equally as difficult meanwhile, but for those punters unwilling to make beds in the precarious match odds market, one in-form Klopp favourite seems worthy of a punt.

Divock Origi was the unexpected deadlock breaker in Dortmund and then came off the bench to bag a brace against the Potters at the weekend, doing his case for another start no harm.

The Belgian is 15/4 to score as part of a Liverpool win and 11/2 to net the first goal of the game in the return leg.

Rested for 73 minutes against Schalke and unusually quiet in the first leg, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has not gone three appearances without a goal all season either.

Dortmund’s prolific top scorer is the 9/2 favourite to rectify that by setting the scoreboard in motion on Thursday night.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.