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The three best bets for the UK’s Super Thursday elections

| 05.05.2016

It’s been dubbed Super Thursday, as the United Kingdom casts its vote on the biggest day of politics between now and the next scheduled general election in 2020.

In London, a replacement for Boris Johnson is needed, while in Scotland the SNP look certain to retain their place in Parliament.

And it’s a busy day in Wales too as they vote for candidates to enter the Assembly.

It’s also a big day for political punters, and we’ve picked out a trio of bets that should be worth considering…

Zac Goldsmith 30-35% first-round votes @ 5/4

The Conservative candidate to be next Mayor of London has really struggled to build up any momentum in his campaign, and the general consensus is that this is a home-run for Labour’s Sadiq Khan.

But how many votes will Goldsmith get?

A turnout of around 35 per cent may help him out substantially, but with most polls handing Khan an 11-14 point lead, anything between 30-35 per cent of first round votes for the Richmond MP at 5/4 could be the way to go.

A few may be tempted too by under 30 per cent at 5/1.

Conservatives to be second party in Scotland @ 5/4

Labour haven’t finished outside the top two in a Scottish election for over 100 years, but this is their toughest fight yet to continue that trend.

Ruth Davidson has brought the Conservatives right into play, and with many now believing they are most likely to stop the Scottish National Party from calling another independence referendum, the Tories have tumbled from 3/1 into 5/4.

Ukip over 7.5 seats in Wales @ 5/6  

With support for Labour at its lowest in Wales since the 2010 general election – its worst performance since World War I – and lukewarm support for Jeremy Corbyn, some polls are tipping Ukip to feature strongly.

Of the 20 seats they could potentially win, some have predicted Ukip could snare anything between seven and 10, so it could be worth backing them over the 7.5 line at 5/6.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.