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UK Politics: Huge week across England, Scotland and Wales

| 04.05.2016

It’s shaping up to be a pretty big year for political punters, with a UK EU referendum, Scottish elections, a London Mayor vote and a US Presidential campaign to get stuck into, and this week is perhaps the busiest of the year yet.

London votes for the man or woman to replace Boris Johnson, while Nicola Sturgeon looks set to maintain her grip on Scotland.

Wales too are making some big decisions this week, as they look to decide on their Assembly.

Here’s the round-up of all the important odds…

London Mayoral Election

Labour candidate Sadiq Khan is the heavy favourite to replace Boris Johnson in London’s City Hall, with the Tooting-born campaigner 1/10 favourite.

Khan’s most likely challenger is Zac Goldsmith, but the Conservative opponent is very much the outsider at 6/1.

Alex Donohue of Ladbrokes said: “It’s one-way traffic for Sadiq Khan, and plenty of political punters are happy to take the short price on Labour taking control of City Hall.

“The latest forecast also suggests turnout is likely to be low, further enhancing Khan’s claims.”

Scottish Parliamentary Election

In Scotland, it’s almost a done thing that Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish National Party will claim this week’s elections, though some doubt remains over whether or not the party can claim a majority.

The SNP are 1/200 to win, but No Overall Majority has come in from 10/1 to 7s.

Labour are 4/6 to come second, but face a surprise challenge from the Conservatives at 11/10.

Elsewhere the Greens are 10/1 to come out top in Edinburgh Central, while the Lib Dems look set to claim Orkney and the Shetland Islands.

Welsh Assembly Elections

Meanwhile in Wales, Labour look to maintain their slim majority in the Assembly.

Failure to do so will leave them likely to seek a deal with either the Liberal Democrats or Plaid Cymru.

It’s 5/6 Labour get over 27.5 seats, with the Plaid Cymru line at 13.5 seats.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.