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How the bookies are calling Gennady Golovkin v Saul Alvarez

| 15.09.2017

Gennady Golovkin and Saul Alvarez clash in Las Vegas on Saturday night in what promises to be the biggest super fight of the decade.

An 18,000 capacity crowd will be in attendance at the T-Mobile Arena when the two middleweight kingpins get it on.

Whereas Mayweather v McGregor was about money, GGG v Canelo is about legacy and prestige.

Has Golovkin slowed down? Can Canelo step up in class? We asked our boxing trader Tommy Young for his pre-fight predictions.

Ladbrokes News: First off Tommy, how excited are you about this fight?

Tommy Young: Oh I cannot wait. After the hype of Mayweather vs McGregor, this is a fight which should actually deliver. Fight fans are champing at the bit for it.

This is the biggest fight that could be made right now between two guys who feature highly on everyone’s Pound for Pound lists – GGG at the top of a lot of them.

LN: What do the odds look like at the minute?

TY: Golovkin, with his unblemished 37-0 record, is the 4/6 favourite over 49-1 Canelo, who is 6/5.

The Kazakh is a justified favourite because, at times, he has looked unbeatable. He is an excellent boxer who had a distinguished amateur career and also possesses terrifying power.

He stopped 23 opponents in a row before his points win over Jacobs last time out, which is incredible.

Canelo has an impressive resume too with his only defeat coming against the legendary Floyd Mayweather. He also has victories over Miguel Cotto and Britain’s Amir Khan and Liam Smith.

LN: What are the main talking points going into this huge fight?

TY: Well, what makes this fight really interesting is there are a couple of question marks hanging over both the fighters that need to be addressed.

A few eyebrows were raised during the GGG- Kell Brook fight over how many times Brook was able to land clean shots on Golovkin.

Had those shots come from a naturally bigger man (Brook is a welterweight who bulked up to fight GGG at middleweight) they would have caused him big problems.

Then in his next fight against Daniel Jacobs, Golovkin was pushed closer than he had been in years and was very close to getting beaten.

LN: So are you saying there is some truth in the rumours GGG has slowed down?

TY: GGG is 35-years-old now and some are definitely questioning whether his best days behind him.

I think there is something in that line of thinking. Canelo is certainly fighting him at the perfect time.

35-years-old isn’t extremely old for a boxer but GGG had reportedly over 350 amateur bouts before going pro. So taking that into account, he does have some miles on the clock.

If he is past his best then Canelo might not be as forgiving as Brook and Jacobs, and will definitely have the tools to find him out.

LN: What stops Canelo winning this fight?

TY: The main question mark over Canelo is his lack of movement. He has been known to get trapped on the ropes in his past fights but normally is able to battle his way out by sheer force.

Getting stuck on the ropes and taking serious shots from GGG would be an absolute disaster. You fear he would get stopped pretty quickly.

As well as Canelo not moving particularly well, GGG is a master at cutting off the ring. Amir Khan was also able to out-box and out-move Canelo for the early part of their fight until he finally got caught and was knocked out cold.

LN: So, after all that – what are your actual predictions?

TY: Well, taking all that into account I can see this being a very close fight. The prices in the betting reflect that, but I feel the draw is a real runner and I’ll be backing that at 22/1.

But if GGG really is past his prime, I fancy Canelo to stop him.

7/1 seems pretty generous for a world class operator to force a stoppage. So I also recommend Canelo by KO TKO or DQ at 7/1.

Agree with Tommy?

Let us know in the comments section below!

And click here for the latest Golovkin v Alvarez odds.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing



Cian Carroll

Starting life as a football columnist for his local paper in Dundalk, Cian has written for a number of media outlets with pieces published in The Birmingham Mail and Spain’s El Mundo Deportivo. A lover of football, GAA, boxing, rugby and MMA, he’s a big Aston Villa and Dundalk fan. He can be regularly spotted on various mountain tops.