Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Betting Odds, Lineups, Predictions & Preview

Explore our detailed preview for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid in the Champions League. Key stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 GMT match.

• Fixture: Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
• Date: Wednesday, 12th March 2025
• Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
• Venue: Estadio Metropolitano, Madrid
• First Leg Result: Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid
  

Real Madrid travel to the Estadio Metropolitano defending a narrow 2-1 advantage from the first leg at the Santiago Bernabéu. Atlético Madrid will take confidence from their solid home record in European competitions and will aim to overturn the deficit. This is the sixth time these two sides have met in the Champions League in the past 12 seasons, with Madrid winning five of the last six encounters.

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid (Real Madrid advance 3-2 on aggregate)

• Draw 
• Under 2.5 Goals 
• Both Teams to Score – Yes 

Atlético Madrid will push hard, but Real Madrid’s experience and ability to manage knockout ties should see them through to the quarter-finals.

• Total European Matches: 11
• Atlético Wins: 3
• Real Madrid Wins: 6
• Draws: 2
  

• Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid (March 4, 2025, UCL Round of 16 First Leg)
• Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (May 10, 2017, UCL Semi-Final Second Leg)
• Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid (May 28, 2016, UCL Final – Madrid won on penalties)
• Atlético Madrid 0-0 Real Madrid (April 14, 2015, UCL Quarter-Final First Leg)
• Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid (May 13, 1959, UCL Semi-Final Playoff)
  

• Loss - Getafe 2-1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
• Loss – Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid (Champions League)
• Win – Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club (La Liga)
• Draw – Barcelona 4-4 Atlético Madrid (Copa del Rey, Atlético eliminated on away goals)
• Win – Valencia 0-3 Atlético Madrid (La Liga)

Atlético remain unbeaten at home in Europe this season and will be motivated to turn the tie around in front of their supporters.

• Win - Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
• Win – Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid (Champions League)
• Loss – Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
• Win – Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid (Copa del Rey)
• Win – Real Madrid 2-0 Girona (La Liga)

Real Madrid have been strong in big games but will need to manage their lead carefully in a hostile environment.

Key Strengths:

• Defensive organization at home
• High pressing and physical battles in midfield
• Aerial threat from set-pieces

Key Weaknesses:

• Struggles to dominate possession against elite teams
• Vulnerable to counter-attacks

Atlético Madrid will look to play an aggressive and intense game from the start, pressing Real Madrid’s midfield and using Antoine Griezmann’s creativity to unlock Madrid’s defence.

Key Strengths:

• Clinical finishing in tight games
• Experience in high-pressure European knockout ties
• Midfield control with Aurelien Tchouaméni and Jude Bellingham

Key Weaknesses:

• Defensive vulnerabilities in wide areas
• Can struggle against high-pressing teams

Carlo Ancelotti’s side will likely adopt a more measured approach, absorbing pressure and looking to hit Atlético on the breakthrough Vinícius Jr. and Rodrygo.

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Javi Galan, José María Giménez, Clement Lenglet, Marcos Llorente
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Lino
• Forwards: Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
  

Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
Defenders: Federico Valverde, Antonio Rüdiger, Raul Asencio, Ferland Mendy
Midfielders: Brahim Diaz, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo
Forwards: Vinícius Junior, Kylian Mbappe

Note: Lineups are subject to change based on fitness and tactical adjustments.

• Atlético Madrid to start aggressively, needing to overturn the first-leg deficit.
• Real Madrid to remain composed and look for counter-attacks.
• A highly physical midfield battle, with Barrios and Bellingham central to their teams' plans.
• Set-pieces are likely to be a key factor in deciding the game.
  

• Atlético Madrid – Antoine Griezmann - The French forward will be crucial in creating chances and linking play. His ability to find space and deliver key passes will be essential for Atlético’s attack.
• Real Madrid – Jude Bellingham - One of Madrid’s star performers, Bellingham will be the focal point in midfield, tasked with controlling the tempo and providing attacking support.
  

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.