Borussia Dortmund vs LOSC Lille: UCL Round of 16 Odds, Lineups & Predictions

Explore our detailed preview for Borussia Dortmund vs LOSC Lille in the Champions League Round of 16. Stats, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 GMT match.

• Fixture: Borussia Dortmund vs LOSC Lille
• Competition: UEFA Champions League – Round of 16 (First Leg)
• Date: Tuesday, 4 March 2025
• Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
• Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
  

Borussia Dortmund and Lille face off in a crucial first-leg encounter as both teams aim to take a step closer to the Champions League quarter-finals. Dortmund’s home advantage and knockout-stage pedigree make them slight favourites, but Lille’s recent attacking form could pose a serious threat.

Betting Insights & Key Predictions

• Over 2.5 Goals: 67% probability
• Both Teams to Score: 60% probability
• Dortmund to Score First: 65% probability
• Win Probability: Borussia Dortmund: 54%, Lille: 28%, Draw: 18%

Match Prediction: Dortmund 2-1 Lille

Dortmund have lost just two of their previous 17 home matches in this competition, while Lille are still searching for their first-ever Champions League knockout round victory. Will Dortmund’s attacking firepower be too much for the visitors, or can Lille stun the German giants?

• Borussia Dortmund Wins: 0
• LOSC Lille Wins: 0
• Draws: 2
• Last Meeting: Dortmund 0-0 Lille (February 2002, UEFA Europa League)

Despite their long histories in European football, these sides have only met twice before, with both games ending in goalless draws.

• Win: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund (Bundesliga)
• Win: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
• Draw: Dortmund 0-0 Sporting CP (Champions League, 3-0 agg win)
• Loss: Bochum 2-0 Dortmund (Bundesliga)
• Win: Sporting CP 0-3 Dortmund (Champions League, 3-0 agg win)
  

Key Insights:

• Eased past Sporting CP with a 3-0 aggregate win in the previous round.
• Won six or their last nine Champions League home games. 
• Scored six goals in their last Bundesliga match, showing their attacking threat.
• Played in last season’s UCL final, losing to Real Madrid
  

Recent Matches (All Competitions)

• Loss: PSG 4-1 Lille (Ligue 1)
• Win: Lille 2-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
• Win: Rennes 0-2 Lille (Ligue 1)
• Loss: Lille 1-2 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
• Draw: Lille 1-1 Dunkerque (Coupe de France)

Key Insights:

• Destroyed Feyenoord 6-1 in the previous round, proving their attacking potential.
• Four wins in their last seven matches, showing strong form.
• Have never won a Champions League knockout round match.
• Only one European away win against a German team (Wolfsburg, 2021).
  

Strengths:

• Explosive attack led by Serhou Guirassy and Jamie Gittens.
• Midfield control with Marcel Sabitzer and Pascal Gross. 
• Home crowd advantage, making the stadium a fortress.

Weaknesses:

• Defensive inconsistency, conceding 15 goals in their last eight league matches.
• Struggles against counter-attacks, something Lille will look to exploit.
  

Strengths:

• Organised defensive setup, making them hard to break down.
• Deadly on set-pieces, with Jonathan David a key threat.
• High confidence from recent dominant performances.

Weaknesses:

• Lack of Champions League knockout experience.
• Struggles in away European matches, losing two of their last three.
  

Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1)

• Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
• Defenders: Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini
  
• Midfielders: Marcel Sabitzer, Pascal Gross
  
• Attacking Midfielders: Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier, Jamie Gittens
• Forward: Serhou Guirassy

LOSC Lille (4-4-2)

• Goalkeeper: Lucas Chevalier
• Defenders: Thomas Meunier, Alexsandro, Bafodé Diakité, Gabriel Gudmundsson
• Midfielders: Osame Sahraoui, Benjamin André, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Hákon Haraldsson
• Forwards: Jonathan David, Chuba Akpom
  

• Dortmund’s home form in Europe is strong, making them favourites to take the first-leg lead.
• Lille’s attack is potent, meaning they have a good chance of scoring.
• Dortmund’s defensive inconsistency could make this a high-scoring match.
  

• Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund) has previously scored against Lille in Ligue 1.
• Lille have never progressed past the Champions League Round of 16.
• Dortmund have won their last four home matches against French clubs in the Champions League.

Expect an entertaining first leg in Dortmund, where the hosts will aim to take a lead before the return fixture in France. With both teams in good attacking form, goals should be expected, but Dortmund’s home advantage gives them the edge.

Who will gain the upper hand in this crucial first-leg battle?

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.