PSG vs Liverpool: UCL Round of 16 Odds, Lineups & Predictions
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Explore our detailed preview for PSG vs Liverpool in the Champions League Round of 16. Stats, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 GMT match.
Match Details
- Fixture: PSG vs Liverpool
- UEFA Champions League – Round of 16 (First Leg)
- Date: Tuesday, 5 March 2025
- Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
- Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris
PSG vs Liverpool – Who Takes Control in Paris?
Two of Europe's elite go head-to-head as PSG host Liverpool in a blockbuster Champions League Round of 16 clash. Both sides are in strong form, but history suggests this could be another tight battle, with all previous meetings resulting in home wins. PSG will be aiming to finally break their struggles against Premier League opposition, while Liverpool’s experience in knockout football could prove decisive.
Our predictions for PSG vs Liverpool
- Over 2.5 Goals: 58% probability
- Both Teams to Score: 65% probability
- PSG to Score First: 55% probability
- Win Probability: PSG: 40%, Liverpool: 35%, Draw: 25%
Liverpool arrive in Paris unbeaten in their last five matches, while PSG have won ten straight games, scoring 40 goals in that run. Can PSG's attacking firepower deliver, or will Liverpool’s pressing and counter-attacks expose their defensive flaws?
Head-to-Head Record
- Paris Saint-Germain Wins: 2
- Liverpool Wins: 2
- Draws: 0
- Last Meeting: PSG 2-1 Liverpool (28 November 2018, UEFA Champions League)
All four previous encounters have been won by the home team. PSG have never lost to Liverpool at home, but Liverpool have never been beaten by PSG at Anfield.
Team Form and Overview
PSG
Recent Matches (All Competitions)
- Win: PSG 4-1 Lille (Ligue 1)
- Win: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG (Coupe De France)
- Win: Lyon 2-3 PSG (Ligue 1)
- Win: PSG 7-0 Brest (Champions League, 10-0 agg win)
- Win: Toulouse 0-1 PSG (Ligue 1)
Key Insights:
- Seven consecutive wins across all competitions.
- Five straight home victories in the Champions League.
- Overwhelmed Brest 10-0 on aggregate in the previous round.
- Have won just two of their last eight games against Premier League sides.
Liverpool
Recent Matches (All Competitions)
- Win: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle (Premier League)
- Win: Man City 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
- Draw: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
- Win: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves (Premier League)
- Draw: Everton 2-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
Key Insights:
- Unbeaten in their last five matches (W3 D2).
- Currently leading the Premier League table.
- Big away win at Manchester City (2-0), showing their strength on the road.
- Haven't won in France since 2008, failing to win in their last five visits (D2 L3).
Tactical Analysis
PSG
Strengths:
- Explosive attack, with Ousmane Dembélé, and Gonçalo Ramos capable of breaking any defence.
- Control in possession, dictating the tempo in home games.
- Deadly counter-attacks, taking advantage of Liverpool’s high defensive line.
Weaknesses:
- Defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against high-pressing teams.
- Struggle against high-intensity opponents, with Liverpool excelling in that style.
Liverpool
Strengths:
- Aggressive pressing could force PSG into mistakes.
- Fast transitions, with Salah and Diaz dangerous on the counter.
- Champions League knockout pedigree, having eliminated top sides in recent seasons.
Weaknesses:
- Struggles against fast wingers, meaning Barcola and Dembélé could exploit spaces behind their full-backs.
- Lack of midfield depth, which could be a factor if PSG dominate possession.
Predicted Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Defenders: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Lucas Hernández, Nuno Mendes
- Midfielders: Warren Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves
- Forwards: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, Bradley Barcola
Liverpool (4-2-4)
- Goalkeeper: Alisson Becker
- Defenders: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konaté, Andy Robertson
- Midfielders: Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch
- Forwards: Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai
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Why Bet on This?
- PSG have the firepower to score, but Liverpool’s defensive solidity and pressing will limit their chances.
- Liverpool are unlikely to sit back, but they may play cautiously to ensure a strong position for the second leg.
- Expect a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest, with both teams knowing the return leg at Anfield will be decisive.
Key Stats & Facts
- PSG have never beaten Liverpool at Anfield.
- Mohamed Salah has scored 10 goals in his last 15 Champions League knockout games.
- The last time Liverpool faced PSG in a knockout tie (1997), they lost 3-0 in Paris but won 2-0 at home – will history repeat?
PSG are desperate to prove themselves against English opposition, while Liverpool aim to continue their impressive knockout form. With both sides boasting world-class attacking talent and defensive frailties, expect a tense and tactical first leg that sets up a thrilling second match at Anfield.
Will PSG break their English curse, or will Liverpool’s experience guide them to a crucial away result?
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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.
