PSV vs Arsenal: UCL Round of 16 Odds, Lineups & Predictions

Published:
A general view of the PSV crest outside of the stadium ahead of the UEFA Champions League qualifying match at PSV Stadion, Eindhoven

Explore our detailed preview for PSV vs Arsenal in the Champions League Round of 16. Stats, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 GMT match.

Match Details

  • Fixture: PSV vs Arsenal
  • Competition: UEFA Champions League – Round of 16 (First Leg)
  • Date: Tuesday, 4 March 2025
  • Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
  • Venue: PSV Stadion, Eindhoven
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Our prediction for PSV vs Arsenal

  • Full-Time Result: Draw (1-1)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes
  • Over 2.5 Goals: No

Match Prediction: PSV 1-1 Arsenal

Rationale

  • PSV’s strong home record suggests they won’t lose easily.
  • Arsenal’s defensive solidity should limit PSV’s attack, but they might struggle to break PSV down due to their limited attacking options. 
  • A low-scoring draw seems likely, with both teams keeping it tight ahead of the second leg.
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Head-to-Head Record

  • PSV Wins: 2
  • Arsenal Wins: 4
  • Draws: 4
  • Last Meeting: PSV 1-1 Arsenal (12 December 2023, UEFA Champions League)

This will be the 11th meeting between these two clubs in European competitions, with Arsenal having the historical edge, but PSV proving to be a tough opponent at home.

Team Form and Overview

PSV

Recent Matches (All Competitions)

  • Loss: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 PSV (Eredivisie)
  • Loss: PSV 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles (Dutch KNVB Cup)
  • Win: PSV 3-1 Juventus (UCL, Agg 4-3 aet)
  • Draw: PSV 2-2 Utrecht (Eredivisie)
  • Loss: Juventus 2-1 PSV (UCL, Agg 3-4 aet)

Key Insights:

  • PSV eliminated Juventus in the previous round with an impressive 4-3 aggregate win after extra time.
  • Unbeaten in their last eleven home Champions League matches (W6 D5).
  • PSV's last Round of 16 victory came in 2006/07 – against Arsenal.
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Arsenal

Recent Matches (All Competitions)

  • Draw: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal (Premier League)
  • Loss: Arsenal 0-1 West Ham (Premier League)
  • Win: Leicester 0-2 Arsenal (Premier League)
  • Loss: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal (EFL Cup, Agg 4-0)
  • Win: Arsenal 5-1 Man City (Premier League)

Key Insights:

  • Arsenal qualified directly to the last 16 after finishing 3rd in the league phase.
  • Struggled away from home in recent weeks (only 1 win in the last 3 away matches).
  • The defeat to PSV in 2022 (2-0) was their only loss in their last nine against Dutch teams.


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Tactical Analysis

PSV

Strengths:

  • Strong home record in Europe (unbeaten in last 11 UCL home games).
  • Attacking depth with Luuk de Jong leading the frontline.
  • Set-piece efficiency, particularly with De Jong’s aerial threat.

Weaknesses:

  • Inconsistent defence, having conceded eight goals in their last five games.
  • Struggles against high-pressing teams, which Arsenal could exploit.

Arsenal

Strengths:

  • Midfield dominance with Declan Rice and Martin Ødegaard dictating play.
  • Experience in big European knockout games compared to PSV.
  • A strong defensive set-up.

Weaknesses:

  • Recent away form has been poor.
  • Struggled against defensive low-block teams, which PSV could use to their advantage.
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Predicted Lineups

PSV Eindhoven (4-2-3-1)

  • Goalkeeper: Walter Benítez
  • Defenders: Richard Ledezma, Ryan Flamingo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Junior
  • Midfielders: Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari
  • Attacking Midfielders: Johan Bakayoko, Malik Tillman, Noa Lang
  • Forward: Luuk de Jong

Arsenal (4-3-3)

  • Goalkeeper: David Raya
  • Defenders: Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • Midfielders: Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard, Thomas Partey
  • Forwards: Ethan Nwaneri, Mikel Merino, Leonardo Trossard

Line-ups subject to last-minute changes.

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Fun Fact

  • PSV's last Champions League Round of 16 win came against Arsenal in 2006/07 (1-0 home, 1-1 away).
  • Arsenal have never won in Eindhoven, with their last two visits ending in a loss and a draw.
  • Luuk de Jong has scored against English clubs five times in European competitions.

Expect a tense and tactical first leg, with Arsenal hoping to secure a good result before the return fixture at the Emirates! 

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All odds and markets are correct as of the date of publication.

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