We’ve priced up a General Election endgame for these MPs
Published:
Ahead of Thursday’s General Election we’ve been busy calculating the chances of certain Members of Parliament losing their seats.
Matthew Shaddick, Head of Political Betting, said: “While many long-standing MPs stood down at the end of the last Parliament, there are many familiar faces who may face the ignominy of falling short come Friday morning.”
“It’s still nip and tuck for the likes of Angus Robertson and Sarah Olney, but punters are backing the ends of John Nicolson and Norman Lamb.”
And if our numbers are anything to go by it could be an especially bad night for some prominent high-profile Labour and Liberal Democrat politicians.
Former Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg and Lib Dem leader Tim Farron are both under pressure, according to these percentages.
Meanwhile, Shadow Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport Tom Watson is another who could suffer an alarming fall from grace this week.
Here’s the list of those deemed most likely to be out of a job come Friday morning:
Norman Lamb (Liberal Democrat, North Norfolk) – 65% chance of losing seat
John Nicolson (SNP, East Dunbartonshire) – 60%
Wes Streeting (Labour, Ilford North) – 57%
Sarah Olney (Liberal Democrat, Richmond) – 57%
Lindsey Hoyle (Labour, Chorley) – 53%
Angus Robertson (SNP, Moray) – 48%
Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrat, Sheffield Hallam) – 45%
Jon Cruddas (Labour, Dagenham and Rainham) – 45%
Ben Bradshaw (Labour, Exeter) – 33%
Clive Lewis (Labour, Norwich South) – 30%
Jess Phillips (Labour, Birmingham Yardley) – 29%
Tim Farron (Liberal Democrat, Westmorland and Lonsdale) – 29%
Tom Watson (Labour, West Bromwich East) – 23%
Alex Salmond (SNP, Aberdeenshire, East) – 23%
Caroline Flint (Labour, Don Valley) – 22%
Kate Hoey (Labour, Vauxhall) – 20%
Dennis Skinner (Labour, Bolsover) – 16%
Ladbrokes latest betting – 2017 General Election:
Most Seats
Conservative – 1/10
Labour – 6/1
500/1 bar
Overall Majority
Conservative – 1/4
No overall majority – 9/2
Labour – 10/1
500/1 bar
PM on 1st July 2017
Theresa May – 2/9
Jeremy Corbyn – 7/2
Turnout
Under 55% – 20/1
55-60% – 5/1
60-65% – 6/4
65-70% – 2/1
Over 70% – 11/2
Keep checking back for the latest updates from our political betting team as the campaign trail unfolds.
And click here for the latest General Election odds.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing
