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Man City v Swansea: Back the goals to flow at the Etihad

| 26.10.2012

Man City entertain Swansea in desperate need of three points with their Champions League aspirations looking bleak following defeat at the hands of Ajax last time out.

The Citizens, who have been anything but solid this season, are huge favourites at 2/9 to beat the Swans, despite the visitors heading into this game on the back of good results in their last two games.

Joe Hart recorded 17 Premier League clean sheets last term, more than any other keeper. This makes the fact that he’s only managed one in all competitions this time around one of the most debate-inducing aspects of the season to date, it also makes a mockery of the 1/1 on offer for City to keep the Swans at bay in this one.

However, Swansea’s own leaky defence should give City ample opportunity to put their Amsterdam demons to bed. Wigan became the first side in six to fail to score at least two past Michel Vorm; 10/11 says Roberto Mancini’s men run in more than 2.5 goals by themselves.

Swansea are likely to find the net themselves given City’s defensive issues – 5/6 says both teams will score and should be backed – and the four goals they’ve scored in the last five games have all come between the 60th and 80th minute.

Three of which have fallen within the bracket of minutes 60:00-74:59 and Ladbrokes rate the likelihood of this happening again at 13/2.

Sergio Aguero announced himself onto the Premier League stage with a fine performance in the repeat of this fixture last term – he netted twice in a 4-0 City win. For the Argentine to put his name on the scoresheet again here and his side to win with three goals or more converted, punters can be paid out to the tune of 11/5.

The value of this is heightened by the fact that in both the games that the 24-year-old has found the back of the net in this season, his side have won and three goals have been scored.

All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date



James Middleton