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Swansea v Southampton: Hosts can lead at both HT and FT

| 19.04.2013

Recent results suggests that Swansea may have called time on their season early after their Capital One Cup final success, but there are reasons to believe they will not only claim a home win over Southampton, but do so by being ahead at both half time and full time.

Since beating Bradford at Wembley, Swansea have taken just a solitary point from their last four Premier League fixtures, while Southampton are unbeaten in five and have triumphed in three of their last four.

Based on current form, Swansea will look a bit short in the betting to some at 6/5, with the Saints potentially overpriced at 21/10.

However, one interesting statistic ahead of the Liberty Stadium clash relates to half markets.

Amazingly, Swansea have only led at the break on five occasions this season, but they have gone on to triumph in each of these fixtures.

Meanwhile, only Reading have been behind at half time more than Southampton, which boosts the chances of the Swans going in at the interval ahead.

It is 9/4 that Swansea lead at both half time and full time.

The other market that has some appeal here is the 4/6 that the mid-table pair share over 2.5 goals.

This scenario has occurred in 11 of Southampton’s 16 Premier League away games this season and in eight of Michael Laudrup’s nine home outings in charge of Swansea against opposition currently situated below them in the top-flight standings.

Combining the Swansea success with over 2.5 goals in the Total Result market could additionally lead to solid profits at 11/5.

In terms of goals, Jay Rodriguez has run into some form of late with goals in three successive Saints games and 2/1 looks a fair price that he is on target at any time in the 90 minutes.

With only Michu and Luke Moore scoring of late for Swansea, preference is for the latter in the same market at 12/5.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.