Man City v Man Utd betting tips
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Man City v Man Utd betting tips: Leaders look too strong

| 05.03.2022

Man City v Man Utd betting tips and odds

Sunday’s Manchester derby is the highlight of the Premier League weekend and is a match which could have huge implications in the title race and the battle for the top four.

We have already previewed the four televised games in our Premier League betting tips but here attention turns to the Etihad Stadium where City are 4/11 favourites to beat their rivals.

It should be an electric atmosphere in east Manchester as we look at some of the talking points and odds in our Man City v Man Utd betting tips.

Man City v Man Utd form

Premier League leaders City face their old foes six points clear of nearest rivals Liverpool who have a game in hand.

Pep Guardiola’s side have won 15 of their last 17 matches but lost their most recent home game, a 3-2 defeat by Tottenham following a stoppage-time header from Harry Kane.

That said, City won their previous seven in front of their own fans, four of which came without conceding and they have kept a Premier League-high 16 clean sheets from their 27 matches. With that in mind, City are available at 13/10 to win to nil.

City were in FA Cup action on Tuesday when Guardiola fielded a strong side in a 2-0 win at Peterborough which secured a place in the quarter-finals, but last weekend they were involved in a controversial 1-0 victory against Everton.

Phil Foden scored eight minutes from time to put City in front but Everton were denied the chance to equalise soon after when VAR official Chris Kavanagh decided not to advise referee Paul Tierney over a handball by Rodri.

Although City left it late at Goodison Park, they have scored the opening goal inside 15 minutes in a third of their matches and are 7/2 to get to double digits by leading after a quarter of an hour.

Ralf Rangnick continues to be frustrated by the form of United, who last week had 22 shots in a goalless draw with relegation contenders Watford at Old Trafford.

The Red Devils, 5/2 in the Premier League top-four odds, have now won just two of their last seven in all competitions, although they have only lost once over 90 minutes in 2022.

United have drawn the first half in 13 of their 27 games this season and are 27/20 to be level at the break, while Draw HT/City FT is available at 29/10.

Man City v Man Utd head to head

City dominated the reverse fixture at Old Trafford in November when an Eric Bailly own goal put the visitors in front and terrible defending from Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw allowed Bernardo Silva to bag the second in a 2-0 victory.

Interestingly, the away team has won four of the last six Premier League meetings between these clubs, although if we include the three Carabao Cup ties the figure is seven from nine.

United are 15/2 to beat City as they did last season when a Bruno Fernandes penalty and a good finish from the excellent Shaw sealed a 2-0 win.

Both teams to score is available at 4/5 but the last six encounters in all competitions have involved at least one team failing to find the net and that option can be backed at 10/11 in the Man City v Man Utd betting tips.

This season, City have been a cut above United and finding a Red Devils player good enough to slot into the champions’ side is a difficult task.

The leaders to win either half, score at least two goals and keep a clean sheet is available at 11/5 bearing in mind they have netted twice or more in nine of their 13 home games this season.

However, eight of the last nine meetings have involved three goals or fewer, so our best prediction is for City to win and under 3.5 goals at 5/4.

Key Battles

United’s main task will simply to keep up with City’s bewildering passing game and with no focal point in attack the likes of Maguire and Raphael Varane could be chasing shadows.

Rangnick is an advocate of the pressing game favoured by Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp, but tactically he may decide to sit reasonably deep and catch the hosts on the counter-attack.

The Red Devils lined up in their usual 4-2-3-1 against Watford, but Rangnick may decide to match City’s 4-3-3 formation in which Scott McTominay plays between Paul Pogba and Fernandes.

Man City v Man Utd team news

McTominay has missed the last two games with illness, but is likely to return along with skipper Harry Maguire who was rested for the Watford game.

The main question is whether Rangnick decides to start with Anthony Elanga instead of Marcus Rashford on the right side of a three-pronged attack with Jadon Sancho on the left and Cristiano Ronaldo in the middle, although Edinson Cavani is available having missed the last five matches with a groin problem.

The big news from the City camp is that Ruben Dias will be out for between four and six weeks with a hamstring injury, so John Stones and Aymeric Laporte could start in the heart of defence, with Kyle Walker restored at full-back.

City welcomed back Jack Grealish and Gabriel Jesus from injury during the week, although they are unlikely to start having played the whole game at Peterborough.

Goalscorer Odds

Silva has a decent record against United, scoring in three of his last six starts and opened the scoring in the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final two seasons ago.

The Portuguese winger, who could start up front in a central role on Sunday, is 15/2 to break the deadlock or 13/5 as one of our Man City v Man Utd betting tips.

However, Riyad Mahrez is the 10/3 favourite to get the ball rolling, with Raheem Sterling just behind at 7/2 despite never scoring against United in 23 appearances.

Phil Foden has scored three goals in his last five games and is 5/1 and 7/4 in the two markets, but it may also be worth looking at City defenders who have scored four of the last 17 goals against their rivals.

Joao Cancelo, John Stones and Aymeric Laporte may be worth a look to get on the scoresheet at 8/1, 8/1 and 11/2 respectively.

For United, Ronaldo is the 15/2 favourite to bag the game’s opener and 13/5 to score any time, but has found the net just once in 10 appearances.

Elanga and Sancho are 4/1 and 11/2 to score any time, while Fernandes is 16/5.

Match Info

Where: Etihad Stadium

When: 16:30, Sunday 6th March

How to watch: Sky Sports

Latest Premier League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner