Jesse Marsch, Leeds
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Premier League relegation odds: Struijk gives hope but Leeds still favourites to go down

| 16.05.2022

Premier League relegation odds and contenders

The fight for survival took a dramatic turn at the weekend when Leeds snatched a late equaliser against Brighton to move out of the relegation zone.

United knew that a draw would be good enough to pull them out of the bottom three after Burnley had lost 1-0 at Tottenham in Sunday’s lunchtime kick-off.

Everton also lost to Brentford in the late game and although all three clubs can still go down, Jesse Marsch’s side are still favourites at 8/11 in the Premier League relegation odds as we look at the three candidates to be playing in the Championship next season.

Leeds – played 37, points 35

The Whites’ hopes of staying up were looking remote heading into stoppage time at Elland Road where Danny Welbeck’s neat 21st-minute opener looked to have sealed the points for the in-form visitors.

However, a sublime piece of skill on the byline by young striker Joe Gelhardt provided the cross for substitute Pascal Struijk to head home at the far post.

Leeds travel to Brentford in Sunday’s final game of the season a point clear of Burnley, who will play their game in hand at Aston Villa on Thursday.

Marsch believes Struijk’s equaliser has shifted the momentum in Leeds’ favour, although they will be hoping Steven Gerrard can do them a massive favour, just like title hopefuls Liverpool three days later.

The American said: “We need some help and then we need to be ready next weekend to do whatever it takes.”

Hopefully, that will not involve reckless challenges like the ones that saw Luke Ayling and Dan James suspended for the run-in, with Stuart Dallas also out with a broken leg.

Burnley – played 36, points 34

Clarets interim manager Mike Jackson was without defensive stalwart James Tarkowski in north London where he played five at the back in a 5-3-2 formation in a bid to get a point against a team that had beaten arch rivals Arsenal 3-0 on Thursday night.

The game turned on a penalty deep into first-half stoppage time, awarded after a VAR review for handball against Ashley Barnes who later struck the post from outside the area.

Jackson said “I don’t think it was a penalty”, but “on the flipside I am really proud of the group. They have had a right go today. I have seen a group that was fighting and had that spirit. I don’t want to take away my annoyance on that.”

Burnley face Aston Villa on Thursday, 12 days after they lost 2-0 to the same opposition at Turf Moor, so they will need a much better performance in the West Midlands.

Their superior goal difference over Leeds means a draw would see them leapfrog the Yorkshire side ahead of their final game of the season, a home clash with Newcastle.

However, if they lose at Villa Park their Premier League relegation odds of 6/4 will be cut as their fate will be out of their hands.

Everton – played 36, points 36

The Toffees were safe for another season when Dominic Calvert-Lewin gave them a 10th-minute lead against Brentford, but teenage defender Jarrad Branthwaite was soon sent off for bringing down Ivan Toney.

Seamus Coleman’s own goal levelled the scores, but Richarlison restored Everton’s lead from the penalty spot just before the break, meaning they needed to hold out for another 45 minutes to ensure survival.

But the Bees equalised through Yoane Wissa’s clever near-post header which was soon followed by Rico Henry getting in front of Anthony Gordon to nod in the winner before Salomon Rondon was sent off for a two-footed challenge on the match-winner a couple of minutes from time.

The Blues are a point clear of Leeds and two ahead of Burnley, but they can ensure safety with victory against Crystal Palace on Thursday which would make the outcome of Sunday’s trip to Arsenal irrelevant.

Lose at Goodison Park again and their Premier League relegation odds of 13/2 will be slashed in what will be a nerve-shredding end to the season.

View the latest Premier League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner