Premier League relegation: Promoted teams still favourites for the drop
Published:
Promoted clubs still favourites in Premier League relegation odds
Nuno Espirito Santo's Everton are 13/8 in the Premier League relegation odds, despite being hit with a points deductions this season.
The former Champions League winners were docked four points this season breaching the Premier League’s financial rules, putting them in serious danger of falling into the Championship.
Without their punishment, Forest would be five points ahead of Burnley in 18th, but after being hit with a points deduction, they're now just one point from safety with only three games left to be played.
The promoted clubs occupy the bottom three spots and are favourites to make an immediate return to the Championship, so let’s look at the main contenders for the drop now that the majority of teams have just eight games left to play.
Sheffield United
The Blades sacked Paul Heckingbottom after the 5-0 drubbing by relegation rivals Burnley last year and appointed former manager Chris Wilder as his replacement. Although the ex-Middlesbrough and Watford boss lost his first match in charge – a 2-0 defeat by Liverpool – James McAtee secured a 1-0 victory over Brentford the following weekend as United went level on points with Burnley at the foot of the table.
However, since then, things have turned around as Sheffield United fans would have hoped. With 35 games having been played, the Blades have picked up just 16 points, and they're already guraenteed to be playing in England's second-tier next season after a 5-1 loss to Newcastle.
Burnley
Burnley had an impressive season in the Championship last campaign, where Vincent Kompany got his Burnley side playing some truly brilliant football. However, that hasn’t translated to the Premier League, with the Clarets having picked up just 24 points at this stage in the season.
The expectation amongst many is that Burnley won’t have enough in the tank to pull out a miracle and remain in the Premier League next season, which is why they’re one of the front-runners in our relegation odds.
Luton
Luton may be sitting in 18th placed this year, but especially at Kenilworth Road, Rob Edwards’ side have been one of the most difficult sides in the league to play against. They led Man City 1-0 at home when the two teams met in 2023, with Arsenal relying on a last-minute winner to beat the Hatters last year too. Luton even took points off Liverpool, with Luis Diaz scoring a late goal to make the score 1-1 when the two teams met in November.
Performances only get you so far though, and if the season ended today, Luton would be relegated back down to the Championship. However, with odds of 1/5, the bookies clearly think there’s still a chance that Edwards and co beat the drop.
Nottingham Forest
Steve Cooper started the season as Nottingham Forest manager, but it’s now Nuno Espirito Santo at the helm. The former Wolves manager has seen his Forest side into 17th place, equal on points with Luton who occupy the final spot in the relegation zone.
An added off-pitch wrinkle to add to the equation was the points deduction that was Forest’s way as a result of breaching the Premier League’s financial rules. In March, Forest were docked four points, which sent them into the relegation zone, but a win against Fulham in April changed that.
We also looked at the Premier League title odds, with Liverpool falling to 100/1 after a shock loss to Everton last week and draw with West Ham on the weekend, despite still being third in the table.
View the latest Premier League odds
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication
